Safest Cities North Carolina - header

North Carolina – An original 13 colonies state, it had some of the earliest European settlements including those sponsored by Sir Walter Raleigh. Plagued by pirates in earlier times, the remains of Blackbeard’s “Queen Anne’s Revenge” is now a listed site. Its population of 10.5 million ranks it 9th in the US. It is 15th for population density.

Economically, the state is highly diverse and was voted by Forbes as being the most business-friendly state of the US. Industries include tobacco, hydro-electricity, agriculture, textiles and more recently high-tech manufacturing. The city of Charlotte is the second largest center of US banking after New York City. However, it is also cited as having the 4th highest poverty rate in the country, with 13% of families living below the poverty line.

3.84 Average violent crime per 1,000
32.30 Average property crime per 1,000

Household average incomes at $53,000 are a little over 10% lower than the US average overall. Per capita income at $30,000 is similarly positioned. North Carolina’s crimes statistics show a displacement around national averages.

  • It’s the 33rd safest state for property crime (where 1st = lowest crime)
  • The violent crime rate is slightly higher than the US average (ratio 1.11) with 3.84 crimes per 1,000 when measured against the national average of 3.47 - making it the 30th safest state for violent crime
  • Property crime levels are slightly lower than the national average at 32.3 per 1,000 compared to the national average of 40.43 – giving a ratio of 0.80.

The top 5 statistically safest areas in North Carolina are:

  1. Elon
  2. Pinehurst
  3. Holly Springs
  4. Archdale
  5. Apex

Safest Cities in North Carolina, 2019

RankCityViolent CrimesProperty CrimesViolent Crime RateProperty Crime Rate
1Elon6520.5835.057
2Pinehurst51300.3108.052
3Holly Springs163170.4589.084
4Archdale121921.02916.461
5Apex246430.48813.080
6Waxhaw141700.92811.266
7Mount Holly272611.84417.828
8Stallings121810.76611.561
9Davidson41570.31412.340
10Cary1071,7950.64110.749
11Knightdale102690.64817.441
12Clayton233671.09517.466
13Boone253821.30619.960
14Fuquay-Varina333761.20313.708
15Wake Forest417410.97617.635
16Kannapolis849801.72320.101
17Mount Airy324483.09543.335
18Concord941,7911.02419.519
19Leland173490.85917.639
20Kings Mountain263622.40233.444
21Mooresville599981.59226.937
22Morrisville194110.73315.866
23New Bern1401,0054.63733.288
24Huntersville619931.08417.644
25Chapel Hill791,2841.32721.561
26Southern Pines424712.99533.583
27Newton464513.52234.536
28Carrboro384301.76319.951
29Tarboro393593.57032.863
30Lincolnton463694.25034.094
31Rocky Mount3801,9846.89736.009
32Lenoir497912.73344.111
33Hendersonville476913.36549.474
34Mint Hill434671.60017.381
35Eden915725.94037.334
36Elizabeth City1258217.02246.118
37Jacksonville2181,9613.24029.141
38Smithfield705685.60545.480
39Matthews531,0051.64331.158
40Wilmington7484,3186.26436.157
41Havelock214861.04224.111
42Albemarle897385.55546.062
43Kernersville781,2493.22051.565
44Garner961,0823.27836.945
45Burlington4992,0169.41838.048
46Greensboro2,10410,3327.25435.621
47Hickory2142,0935.26451.485
48Greenville5783,3946.24036.640
49Belmont426343.86058.272
50Fayetteville1,4218,8116.91742.890
51Charlotte-Mecklenburg6,06834,8946.63538.152
52High Point7564,1616.72837.030
53Reidsville1187498.48953.885
54Henderson18267312.02844.478
55Asheville5514,2486.11547.146
56Mebane585793.96739.606
57Durham2,13210,2967.92338.263
58Thomasville1161,2704.28546.914
59Goldsboro2691,7967.50950.134
60Asheboro1271,5274.83858.165
61Kinston2661,21912.79458.631
62Hope Mills1078096.55449.556
63Gastonia5673,7147.44248.746
64Roanoke Rapids1078507.09456.355

METHODOLOGY

To identify the safest cities in North Carolina, we reviewed the most recent FBI Uniform Crime Report statistics. A total of 7,639 cities were factored into this ranking with populations ranging from 7,639 to 4,007,147. However, we eliminated any cities that failed to submit a complete crime report to the FBI and removed cities with populations under 10,000.

Overall, data from 8,793 law enforcement agencies that represented more 193 million of the US population helped us draw interesting insights between the size of the police force and incidence of crime.

There are two broad classifications of crimes: violent crimes and non-violent crimes. According to the FBI, “Violent crime is composed of four offenses: murder and non-negligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. Violent crimes are defined in the UCR Program as those offenses that involve force or threat of force. Property crime includes the offenses of burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson. The object of the theft-type offenses is the taking of money or property, but there is no force or threat of force against the victims. ”

We computed the total number of crimes reported by each city by adding violent crimes and property crimes. We then rated them using the population of the city and created a crime rate as the number of crimes per 1,000 population. Then we transformed the total crime rate variable so that the skewness was reduced and we normalized it so the final number became a score between 0 and 1.

Next, we computed a new variable called Police Adequacy (TotalCrimes / Number of police employees). We consider that the smaller the police adequacy statistic is, the safer the city is. We transformed and normalized this police adequacy variable also, resulting in a score between 0 and 1. Finally, we combined the two scores to create a safety score for each city.

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